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New, even longer bonds

July 28 primary auction results. The Ministry of Finance placed the usual military bills with maturities of one year and almost two years, and also placed a new note, currently the longest maturity, over 3.5 years.

One-year paper again collected bids at a level slightly above supply, with yields no higher than the cut-off rate—which has not changed since March—15.15%. At the same time, the rate minimum in bids slid to 15%, reducing the weighted average rate by 1bp to 15.13%.

The bid-to-cover ratio for 1.8-year bills was 2.3x, which led to a further decrease in yields on this security. The cut-off rate slid by another 2bp, and the weighted average yield decreased by 5bp. Unexpectedly, the Ministry of Finance decided to satisfy all non-competitive demand, selling almost 90% of bonds via non-competitive bids (satisfied under the weighted average yield) instead of the usual fulfilment rate of up to 30%. With this decision, the MoF slowed the decline in yields on this paper.

Most interesting was the placement of a new ordinary UAH note with maturity in February 2030. This paper collected 43 bids for almost UAH14bn with a 2.7x bid-to-cover ratio. Having allocated 30% (UAH1.5bn) for non-competitive bids, the remaining supply was exhausted on bids with a yield of 16.49%, and the weighted average yield was set at 16.44%.

Compared with the yield of the bond maturing in April 2029, which until yesterday was the longest in the primary bond market, the cut-off rate for new securities is higher by 49bp, and the weighted average by 46bp. Clearly, the ministry is ready to pay such a maturity premium for an extra 10 months.

 

Official results on issuance of domestic bonds